If you’re keen to have a punt on footy but find AFL betting odds confusing, you’re not alone. Understanding how odds work is the key to betting with confidence — and turning casual bets into calculated plays.
Whether you’re new to sports betting or just looking to improve your game, this AFL betting guide breaks down how odds work, what different markets mean, and how to make smarter, more informed picks each round.
Understanding AFL Betting Odds
In Australia, odds are displayed in decimal format, which shows how much you’ll get back for every $1 wagered, including your original stake.
Example:
- Carlton at 1.75 means a $10 bet returns $17.50 total (or $7.50 profit)
- Richmond at 2.10 means a $10 bet returns $21.00 (or $11.00 profit)
Higher odds = higher potential return = lower chance of winning (according to the bookie’s model).
Key AFL Betting Markets Explained
1. Head-to-Head
The simplest market — pick the team you think will win. There are only two outcomes (no draws in modern AFL due to extra time rules in finals).
2. Line Betting
A points handicap is applied to even the playing field. Example:
- Melbourne -9.5 vs Adelaide +9.5
If you back Melbourne, they must win by 10 or more to cover the line.
Great for value when strong teams face lower-placed opponents.
3. Over/Under Total Points
The bookmaker sets a total points line (e.g. 164.5), and you bet on whether the combined match score will go over or under.
Tip: Use weather and ground conditions to your advantage — wet nights often go under.
4. Margin Betting
Pick whether a team will win by 1-39 points or 40+ points. This is where you’ll often find better value if you have a feel for how close the match might be.
5. Player Props
Bet on individual performance:
- First Goal Scorer
- Most Disposals
- Anytime Goal Scorer
These markets are great for multis or fans who follow players closely.
How to Spot Value in AFL Odds
Anyone can pick a favourite — but value betting is what separates the sharp punters from the casual ones. Here’s how to find edges:
- Compare odds across bookies – Prices can vary significantly
- Look beyond the ladder – Recent form, injuries, and match-ups matter more
- Study trends – Teams that consistently cover the line or perform away from home
- Monitor injury lists – A missing key midfielder or ruckman can shift the game
- Use live betting wisely – AFL momentum swings fast; in-play betting can reveal value when favourites fall behind early
Smart Betting Strategies for AFL
- Stick to units – Bet a consistent percentage of your bankroll, not random amounts
- Avoid multis as your only play – They’re fun, but tough to win long term
- Track your bets – Keep a record of wins, losses, and types of bets
- Don’t chase – A bad round is just one round. Reset and stay disciplined
- Watch the weather – Total points, goal scoring, and game tempo are all weather-dependent
Top Aussie Bookies for AFL Betting
The right bookmaker can make all the difference. Here are a few worth checking out:
- Sportsbet – AFL Same Game Multis, price boosts, live stats
- Ladbrokes – Deep AFL markets, including player props and promo bets
- PlayUp – Excellent odds for AFL line betting and totals
- Dabble – AFL tip sharing community and social betting features
- TAB – Access to official AFL stats, vision, and pre-game form previews
Final Thoughts: Read the Odds, Punt Smart
AFL betting becomes more enjoyable — and potentially profitable — once you understand how the odds work and what the markets mean. Don’t just guess; use the tools available, compare prices, and develop a strategy that suits your style.
Even a casual weekend punter can find serious success with the right approach.
Want to Bet Smarter This Footy Season?
Compare Aussie bookies, get expert tips, and stay across the latest betting guides at:
👉 Visit Top Betting Australia – your ultimate destination for AFL betting tips, app reviews, and the best odds in Australia.